Hindsight bias is a well‐documented cognitive phenomenon whereby individuals perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were. This bias manifests through memory ...

Antiwar liberals last week got to savor the four most satisfying words in the English language: "I told you so." This was after a declassified National Intelligence Estimate asserted that the war in ...

Have you ever found yourself saying, “I saw that coming”? If so, you may have been wrong. Hindsight bias, sometimes referred to as the “knew-it-all-along” effect, is a common cognitive bias that ...

While views may vary, we believe firmly that witness preparation should involve asking witnesses the tough questions, for several reasons: First, we would argue it is better to pose a tough or ...

Sylvan Browne suggests a way to deal with the problem of hindsight bias when assessing the obviousness of a patent application So-called hindsight bias can affect the assessment of the obviousness of ...